Since the Myanmar military's coup d'état in February 2021, India has faced a simmering crisis on its northeastern border. Over 50,000 civilians have fled across the border from Myanmar's Chin State and Sagaing Region, seeking refuge in India's northeast. In response to the humanitarian crisis, New Delhi has adopted a delicate balancing act, allowing the influx of refugees into the country while refraining from direct political pressure on the junta and its State Administrative Council (SAC).

The stance taken by India is understandable, given the country's geopolitical considerations. India shares a complex relationship with Myanmar, seeking to maintain friendly ties while safeguarding its own national interests. Directly intervening in Myanmar's internal affairs could risk antagonizing the military junta and potentially jeopardize long-standing partnerships and diplomatic relationships in the region.

However, as the situation in Myanmar continues to deteriorate and the political, economic, and humanitarian crises deepen, India will face increasing challenges in maintaining its current approach. The refugee influx could strain local resources and create tensions within India's northeastern states. Additionally, the escalating crisis in Myanmar may have implications for regional stability and security, which can eventually affect India's interests.